Orb of Conflict Calculator
Your expert tool for calculating Eldritch implicit upgrade chances in Path of Exile.
Calculate Upgrade Probability
Calculation Results
Based on the formula: 50% + (11% * Tier Difference)
Outcome Visualization
Sequential Upgrade Path
| Attempt | Starting Tiers (Desired/Other) | Upgrade Chance | Recommended Action |
|---|
What is an Orb of Conflict Calculator?
An Orb of Conflict calculator is a specialized tool for the game Path of Exile, designed to determine the probabilistic outcomes of using an Orb of Conflict on an item. This currency item is used on equipment that has both a Searing Exarch and an Eater of Worlds implicit modifier. When used, it unpredictably raises the tier of one modifier while lowering the tier of the other. Our calculator helps you understand the odds, enabling a more strategic and cost-effective approach to endgame crafting.
This tool is essential for any player looking to maximize their gear’s potential without wasting valuable resources. Instead of relying on pure luck, you can make informed decisions based on a clear mathematical formula. Whether you’re a seasoned crafter or new to Eldritch implicits, our orb of conflict calculator provides the clarity needed for high-stakes crafting projects. For more details on game mechanics, see our guide on game mechanics.
The Orb of Conflict Formula and Explanation
The chance to upgrade your desired modifier is not a simple 50/50. The game’s mechanics weight the outcome based on the relative tiers of the two Eldritch modifiers on the item. The core formula that governs the Orb of Conflict is:
Upgrade Chance = 50% + (11% * [Tier of Other Mod – Tier of Desired Mod])
This formula reveals that having the ‘other’ modifier at a higher tier than your desired modifier significantly increases your chances of a successful upgrade. Each tier of difference adds (or subtracts) 11% from the base 50% chance.
Variables Table
| Variable | Meaning | Unit | Typical Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Desired Modifier Tier | The current tier of the implicit you want to improve. | Tier Level | 1 to 5 |
| Other Modifier Tier | The current tier of the implicit you will sacrifice. | Tier Level | |
| Upgrade Chance | The probability that the Desired Modifier’s tier will increase. | Percentage (%) | ~17% to ~83% |
Understanding these variables is the first step toward mastering your crafting. For a deeper dive, check out our article on advanced crafting tactics.
Practical Examples
Example 1: Favorable Odds
You have a pair of gloves with a Tier 3 (Lesser) “Attack Speed” modifier you want to upgrade. To maximize your chances, you apply an Exceptional Eldritch Ichor to get a Tier 4 (Exceptional) “Cold Resistance” modifier you don’t care about.
- Inputs: Desired Tier = 3, Other Tier = 4
- Units: Tier levels
- Results: The tier difference is +1 (4 – 3). The calculation is 50% + (11% * 1) = 61% chance to upgrade your Attack Speed to Tier 4.
Example 2: Unfavorable Odds
Now, imagine you have a Tier 5 (Exquisite) “Spell Damage” modifier. The other modifier is only Tier 3 (Lesser).
- Inputs: Desired Tier = 5, Other Tier = 3
- Units: Tier levels
- Results: The tier difference is -2 (3 – 5). The calculation is 50% + (11% * -2) = 50% – 22% = 28% chance to upgrade your Spell Damage to Tier 6. In this case, there’s a 72% chance you will downgrade your desired mod.
How to Use This Orb of Conflict Calculator
Using our calculator is a straightforward process designed to give you quick and accurate results.
- Select Desired Mod Tier: In the first dropdown, choose the current tier of the implicit modifier you wish to upgrade.
- Select Other Mod Tier: In the second dropdown, select the current tier of the implicit you are willing to have downgraded. For best results, this should be as high as possible.
- Interpret Results: The calculator instantly displays the percentage chance to upgrade your desired mod. It also shows the corresponding downgrade chance and the tier difference that drives the calculation.
- Review the Chart and Table: Use the visualization chart to quickly grasp the odds and the sequential upgrade table to plan a multi-step crafting process. A better understanding of power metrics can help your strategy.
Key Factors That Affect Orb of Conflict Outcomes
- Tier Difference: This is the single most important factor. The bigger the positive difference (Other Tier > Desired Tier), the higher your chance of success.
- Starting Tier of Desired Mod: It is often cheaper to start with a mid-tier mod (like Tier 3) and upgrade it, rather than trying to get a high-tier mod from scratch.
- Cost of Eldritch Currency: The price of Eldritch Ichors and Embers (especially Exceptional and Exquisite) must be factored in. Is it cheaper to apply a high-tier ‘other’ mod or to risk a lower success chance?
- Item Base: High-value item bases (like well-rolled Hunter or Elder items) justify a more significant investment in crafting.
- Imprinting: For extremely valuable items, using an Imprint from a Craicic Chimeral beast before each Orb of Conflict attempt can act as a safety net, allowing you to revert a bad outcome.
- Project Goal: Are you aiming for a perfect Tier 6 modifier, or is a Tier 4 or 5 sufficient? Defining your endpoint helps manage your crafting budget. Our growth projection calculator might be helpful here.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. What is the base chance of an Orb of Conflict if both mods are the same tier?
If both the Searing Exarch and Eater of Worlds modifiers are the same tier, the chance to upgrade either one is exactly 50%.
2. Does the specific modifier (e.g., Attack Speed vs. Fire Resistance) affect the odds?
No, the odds are determined purely by the tier levels of the two modifiers. The specific stats they grant are irrelevant to the Orb of Conflict’s calculation.
3. What happens if a Tier 1 modifier is lowered?
If a Tier 1 (the lowest tier that isn’t Perfect) modifier is chosen to be lowered, it is removed from the item entirely.
4. What is the highest possible success chance?
The highest practical chance occurs when upgrading a Tier 1 mod while the other mod is Tier 6. The difference is +5, leading to 50% + (11% * 5) = 105%, which is capped, but essentially guarantees an upgrade. A more realistic best-case is upgrading a T4 mod with a T6 other mod for a 72% chance.
5. Is it better to use a Grand or Exceptional Eldritch orb for the ‘other’ mod?
It is almost always better to use the highest tier Eldritch currency you can afford (Exceptional or even Exquisite) to set up the ‘other’ mod. The increased upgrade chance from the Orb of Conflict saves currency in the long run.
6. Can I use this on a unique item?
No, Orbs of Conflict, like other Eldritch currency, can only be used on non-unique items.
7. Where do Orbs of Conflict come from?
They are primarily dropped by The Maven and in her Invitations, such as The Twisted or The Formed.
8. Does this orb of conflict calculator work for all versions of the game?
Yes, the underlying mechanics have been consistent since their introduction in the Siege of the Atlas expansion. This calculator is up-to-date.
Related Tools and Internal Resources
Expand your Path of Exile knowledge and crafting prowess with our other tools and guides.
- Unit Comparison Calculator: Analyze the trade-offs between different item stats.
- Resource Management 101: A guide to managing your currency and resources effectively.
- Advanced Crafting Tactics: Go beyond the basics with advanced crafting strategies.
- Game Mechanics Wiki: Our comprehensive wiki on the intricate mechanics of Path of Exile.
- Understanding Power Metrics: Learn how different stats contribute to your character’s overall power.
- Growth Projection Calculator: Project your character’s potential power growth.